
Tripharbor.com and Tripharbour.ca are both live as of last night. Initial response is very postive. See more over on the Tripharbor blog.
What a great feeling...
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Friday, April 25
by
Stuart MacDonald
on Fri 25 Apr 2008 12:53 PM EDT
Tripharbor.com and Tripharbour.ca are both live as of last night. Initial response is very postive. See more over on the Tripharbor blog. What a great feeling... Monday, April 14
by
Stuart MacDonald
on Mon 14 Apr 2008 06:21 PM EDT
I know that I've been pretty quiet over here of late, especially given all the fun and games in the travel sector (a raft of carrier failures, Transat ups and downs, FAA oversight pendulum swings, Royal Caribbean stock rating dropped to junk etc.). But I have been blogging at the shiny Tripharbor.com blog, and generally keeping very busy with work on our new business. Be sure to check out over there.
Tuesday, December 11
by
Stuart MacDonald
on Tue 11 Dec 2007 10:45 AM EST
A cautionary tale about changing corporate focus in the tourism space, if ever there was one.
Tuesday, June 19
by
Stuart MacDonald
on Tue 19 Jun 2007 11:47 AM EDT
Hardly shocking to read that IAC-controlled Expedia is possibly looking to buy-back $3.5 billion in stock or up to 42% of the company at an offer of $30/share. The Financial Times also reports that there are rumours the company may spin out it’s TripAdvisor unit and eliminate up to 400 positions. In an odd turn, given that they don’t normally comment about such things, the company has denied these rumours.
Given that Expedia’s domestic growth has essentially stopped (1% revenue increase in Q1) and it’s international growth is underwhelming (25% growth looks fine, but it’s a far cry from the triple-digit stuff of not-too-long ago and on a small base, to boot) you can easily see why it’s valuation might be under scrutiny. Layer in the fact that the only real share price growth Expedia has seen since it was spun out the second time, about two years ago, appears to have been the last stock buy-back, and that IAC’s principle investor and Diller’s friend John Malone’s Liberty Media might well be wondering where their money is, and you can easily see why another buy-back might be in the cards. Finally, the pressure on the model itself is intense. Strong competition from Travelocity,Orbitz and other third party players, the growing power of suppliers who want to control their distribution, the rise of meta-search tools like Kayak and SideStep, plus overall category maturation and you don’t have to squint too hard to see why getting the price up and getting out of Dodge might work out just fine.
UPDATE: Expedia has issued a release confirming this buy-back. However, this quote from Diller is beyond my ability to wrap my head around:
I guess maybe I'm just slow...
Saturday, June 16
by
Stuart MacDonald
on Sat 16 Jun 2007 12:57 PM EDT
Congratulations to my former Expedia Europe colleagues on the launch of TVTrip.com, a bilingual (so far) video rich travel comparison site. The team, including Marc Ruff - former head of Expedia France, Anja Keckeisen - former head of Expedia Germany, and Fabien Bourdier - Marc's Number Two at Expedia France, are some my favourite, and among the most talented, members of the original Expedia team (I actually interviewed Marc and Fabien Back In The Day), so I am very pleased to see them getting back in the saddle. More comment about the service itself once I have had a chance to spend more time with it. It looks pretty solid from a content perspective for a beta, though. They have been busy.
Friday, June 15
by
Stuart MacDonald
on Fri 15 Jun 2007 10:34 AM EDT
I don't know why I'm noticing more travel related stuff these days, but I am. This one caught my eye, from The Canadian Travel Press, a travel industry publication, with a primarily retail travel agent readership. The piece asks several travel agents across Canada the following question (and for the record, I am a huge fan of traditional travel agents, and think that the good ones are worth their weight in gold). Here is the question and one very telling answer:
Well. I'm just not going to say anything further. That quote alone speaks volumes in many, many ways.
Thursday, June 14
by
Stuart MacDonald
on Thu 14 Jun 2007 07:51 AM EDT
I share a few thoughts about WestJet's challenge to expand distribution in the US, and add new routes. The story is here. The Star Alliance comment is true, but the real issues are deeper than what the reporter was able to fit into the story. Firstly, the real strength of Star Alliance for Air Canada on transborder is the United codeshare, which ensures that US originating passengers flying to Canada see Air Canada flights, since they carry usually carry a United flight number. Same with US Airways (which includes the former America West now, too). This is huge, because it guarantees visibility (albeit under another name) for these services in a market where Air Canada is not well known, ties in to other connecting flights providing additional source passengers, and gives points on the other airline's loyalty program. Secondly, WestJet's challenge isn't just in securing interline and codeshare partners (to provide valuable inbound connecting passengers, and allow it to feed same on the outbound) but in talking to and working with them. As a low cost carrier model, WestJet has had a mostly closed system in which they operate the airline and distribute their seats. I hear that they have tried to make a change to use technology provided by Travelport, which I have been told has been a real mess (if true, I'm far from surprised. Travelport has been a major disapointment almost since it's inception). Working with other carriers and other distributors means more technology investment and increased pain of "participation" in various platforms used to sell airline tickets, all of which complicates the WestJet model. Plus, they end up having to pay all the various parties for this distribution, much like full service carriers do, reducing their overall yield per ticket sold. This is as opposed to carriers like Ryanair who simply don't use any distribution and keep costs low and control in-house. A smaller issue is that WestJet doesn't offer a First or Business Class service, which makes it harder for it to offer interline, or connecting, services to Asian or European carriers who do. The real question, for me, is why WestJet seems hell-bent on going the full-service-type distribution route. They need to expand, sure, but this way of distributing their product adds cost and reduces control, especially in a world of increasing online distribution where the suppliers should hold the cards. I certainly wouldn't be going that way. But that's just me :)
Thursday, March 22
by
Stuart MacDonald
on Thu 22 Mar 2007 10:05 PM EDT
My one-time alma-mater, First Choice Holidays PLC - the parent of Signature Vacations - is merging with the massive German based TUI to form an even more massive travel cencern. This seems like a win for all. First Choice needed a tie up, their management team is solid, and consolidation in the leisure travel world isn't likely to slow down anytime soon. Now, if they can only get that internet thing to go away, everybody can be happy :)
Wednesday, February 21
by
Stuart MacDonald
on Wed 21 Feb 2007 09:48 AM EST
After a break (there's a pun there for those "in the know") I am back online. I will be posting more regularly again, I promise. Just after the Holidays I heard from Mel Crothers, the so-called whistleblower on the WestJet spying scandal. You may recall that Mel told Globe and Mail reporters Brent Jang and Patrick Brethour that he "didn't expect a thank you from Robert Milton." Well, Mel tells me that a nice, personal Thank You note is exactly what he got not too long ago. Nicely done, Robert.
Friday, November 17
by
Stuart MacDonald
on Fri 17 Nov 2006 01:32 AM EST
The Economist has a quick, solid piece covering the increasing fortunes of the old-school US commercial airline business. In short, the US$35 *billion* they have lost over the past five years (yes, you read that right) seems to have finally, possibly, just maybe, driven them to gain a closer to competitive and cost-based footing with the upstart and low-cost carriers.It also mentions JetBlue's recent challenges, including a loss making Q3 and resulting equipment sales, which I had not been aware of. Always fun in the airline business, isn't it? I can only imagine how challenging it must be for third-party guys like ExpediOrbiLocity and others to be earning any appreciable compensation from those carriers these days, given the carriers' improving fortunes, search and metasearch (more on that in a future post - lots of action in that world), fenced inventory and CRS changes moving more power and money into their camp. It might still be the milk at the back of the store and responsible for driving a lot of cross-sellable traffic, but increasingly the third party guys have to be looking at the air category itself in terms of revenue from booking fees and very little else. Everybody knew it was coming - it now must be close to here.
Tuesday, October 3
by
Stuart MacDonald
on Tue 03 Oct 2006 02:47 PM EDT
News today that Airbus, the European aircraft enterprise and not-too-long-ago wunderkind of the global aviation world has dropped the ball *again* and will be pushing first deliveries of their huge A380 twin-deck behemoth for another entire year. The parent company, EADS, is projecting that this second, major slip will cost them $6.1 billion in operating profit. Parking the whole "man, I get that it's a complicated thing to create a new thing like this, but how could they have messed this so badly?" line of thought for a moment, let's think about the downstream implications. Singapore Airlines and Emirates - two of the most successful global players, with well deserved reputations for service and strength via small-but-well-located hubs as their home bases - have committed to buying a whack of these machines. Which means, they did not commit to other alternatives, such as the latest Boeing 747 for instance. The result of these slips means that their entire business plan has been thrown for a loop, for years to come. Airports have done major upgrades, pilots have been trained, revenue has been projected. Just as traffic from China looks set to ramp - prime business for both these guys - they look to be short of capacity. And Virgin, who seems to have ongoing gifts of "oopsies" from British Airways landing in their lap, is also left holding the bag. And Lufthansa, FedEx...da da da. I guess after all the changes in the Airbus executive suite, it's better to call it and take the hit, but I can't help but think that this could have all been avoided. The Boeing folks in Chicago/Seattle, Embraer in Brazil etc. must be doing all they can not to high five around the office. Tags: airbus, a380, goat rodeo Monday, June 26
by
Stuart MacDonald
on Mon 26 Jun 2006 11:26 PM EDT
As you might take from the last sentence, I went into my tire kick of the site with fairly low expectations. Not because these aren't bright folks, but because group travel is really hard to do. As it turns out, my expectations were probably well placed - at least partially. This is a pretty good invitations-and-central-repository-like-Evite meets private-label-Hotels.com site, but as a real group travel management tool, they still fall short. Now, the Evite-esque invitation and central trip record thing is a cool tool. If you have ever used Evite to invite people to a party or event, you can probably imagine applying that concept to multi-person trip planning. Pretty handy. And, they have a private label deal with the Hotels.com/TravelNow crew (all part of the Expedia group of companies) and Viator for activities, which from a revenue perspective should drive affiliate revenue for them. But, from a user perspective, beyond the Evite-esque thing, they don't seem to offer much in terms of true group travel planning assistance. What do I mean by that? Well, "group travel" is really about people going as a group of more than X people (depending on the supplier) and saving money. Fact is, this functionality is very, very hard to offer online. There are a lot of reasons for that which I won't go into, but more to the point, it does not seem that TripHub has pushed that envelope any further. To their credit, they do link to group request pages on various supplier sites, as well as promoting "featured links" to these types of pages, so and it looks like they are likely getting some kind of payment for the referral and ad revenue for the features, which is good for them in terms of revenue. But short of aggregating the links, there's little user value there. The flight search is nothing special - it's a straight-up pass through to the TravelNow IAN platform, and only searches for a maximum of 6 passengers (there's one of those hard group travel planning problems - this is a limitation imposed by the CRS). For true "group" deals, you have to go to the airline's own group booking sites, and then input the details back into TripHub manually. Likewise for the hotel portion: there is certainly no new ground being broken in terms of the search functionality itself (eg: there is no meta search or breakthrough-anything here; it's just vanilla private label Hotels.com). In fact, TripHub offers nothing which makes hotel seeking "groups" easier to book or price multiple rooms at once. Net/net: while the Evite-esque feature is pretty neat-o, as a real travel planning service and aid to group travel, TripHub doesn't get the job done. Update: I had a chat with Michael McGinn, TripHub's CFO and Operations guy this afternoon. Michael also happens to be a former colleague, a former Expedia Strategic Planning VP and long time air industry guy. He's also one smart cookie to boot. Michael talked with me about their desire to use solving the problem of people travelling together as a way to get people to keep coming back and build an ongoing audience for advertisers. He stressed that the traditional travel industry idea of "group travel" being about deals is not at the core of what they are offering, and I have to agree that making the prospect of "going together" easier is a good good one. As I said above. All that said, and with great respect to Michael and the team, I still can't imagine that what they have today is where they are going to end up. It just shouldn't be. Group travel is a big business, and making it truly better in a big way is a nice, chewy, defensible objective. My hope is that, regardless of what they are saying at this point, they do have cracking that big problem as the ultimate goal. Now *that* would be cool. Tags: triphub Thursday, June 1
by
Stuart MacDonald
on Thu 01 Jun 2006 11:02 AM EDT
FCC Auction 65, or the sale of bandwidth in the 800MHz radio telephone range, has the potential to change everything about the travel experience and make a bunch of people a lot of money, and yet nobody's talking about it. Why does it matter? Because this spectrum sale will pave the way to airborne WiFi in the USA. Inflight internet isn't new. Lufthansa has led the way with what I believe is the biggest install of the Conexxion by Boeing service of airborne WiFi. Many other carriers offer it to a limited extent as well. In the past, I've even used Verizon's inflight dial-up in the US to access limited internet services. But did you know that no airline or provider can offer WiFi in the US because the bandwidth to operate it has not been made available by the FCC? That's what this auction is about. And as opposed to the last go-round when those poor sucker cellphone providers spent jillions to put lonely little phones in the backs of people's seats, this time the winner seems likely to get some serious spoils. So far, the bids are up to US$38 million. I can tell you having used the Lufthansa / Boeing service, it's pretty sweet. I watched streaming video, IM-ed, could have VOIP-ed if I wanted to, know people who have used Slingbox to watch their home TV channels over the Atlantic and in fact I even SMS-ed my wife when I learned that we would be landing in Newfoundland to deplane a sick passenger on board. Will the impact on flying in the US be immediate? No. Airlines - especially US airlines - are cheap and service additions aren't at the top of the To Do list. But massive change starts somewhere, and in my estimation a massive change in flying is starting with FCC Auction 65. Thanks Phil for alerting me to this. Tags: fccauction65, fcc, boeing, lufthansa, airborneinternet Tuesday, May 30
by
Stuart MacDonald
on Tue 30 May 2006 02:41 PM EDT
I mean, there was so much material! First there was AC privatization, then there were the years of AC/CP dogfights, charter airline collapses, the CP acquisition - with it's headline-friendly Quebec-vs.-The West overtones - then more charter airline collapses, some start-ups, some shut-downs, the odd bankruptcy, more start-ups, a little spying, more collapses, a few labour crises... Update: Further evidence of this in today's Globe and Mail, where reporter Brent Jang has a front page non-story about Clive Beddoes. Why non-story? Well, the premise is to discuss Beddoes' future plans, but given that he tried to exit his role as President in 1999 with the disastrous hiring of multi-former-AC-role-boy Steve Smith, the idea that Clive wants to move on is not exactly news. But hey, he was in town and it fills a nice news hole, so my call is that this week's spying-redux flurry has reminded them of that. Maybe airline news is going to be the New Black. Again. Saturday, May 27
by
Stuart MacDonald
on Sat 27 May 2006 12:17 AM EDT
Their "hook" is that they claim to be able to predict what will happen with fares, thereby providing customer value by guiding when someone should buy to maximize their fare savings. Pretty cool on the face of it, and the visual presentation is also pretty neat. But does it really add a lot of value? I think it's a snappy feature and no doubt the algorithm is impressive, but will it pull them in and keep them? I'm unconvinced. Beyond that, the site is clean, nice and ajax-y and the search display is easy to interpret. But I can't say that it is orders of magnitude better than any other meta-sites, or say Orbitz's grid for instance. Another unfortunate negative (mentioned by Michael Arrington in his post) is that, despite pulling schedule info from Southwest and JetBlue, they don't pull pricing info into the initial fare display. This is a pity, as it pushes those options to the bottom of the display and potentially skews the prices listed. Said another way, if one of those carriers offered the lowest price, you'd never know it and the prices shown as lowest might be wrong simply because they aren't shown. But Southwest has a longstanding history of not allowing their fares to show in an aggregated display (possibly because head-to-head they frequently don't compare as well as people might expect) so Farecast getting this access would be quite a coup - and one they haven't managed as yet. Net/net: The predictor is a nice little whiz-bang feature that has some PR value, but essentially Farecast is just another meta-search entry in what is becoming a crowded market. Update: TechDirt says that if it casts light on airline pricing, it will have value. Maybe at the highest or industry level, but adding stress to travellers lives by telling them to wait before they buy won't necessarily make their lives better. And how are the carriers going to feel about a site that drives them to lower yields? Update 2: The folks at Farecast gave me 25 invites to share with others who might like to kick the tires, too. If you'd like one, let me know here or at stuart [at] stuartmacdonald [dot] ca. Thanks Mike - another Expedia alum - for the invite. Tags: farecast, travel, metasearch Thursday, May 11
by
Stuart MacDonald
on Thu 11 May 2006 11:20 PM EDT
What to say? Well...
That said, my call is that the Canadian business is likely still doing okay, and I feel good about that. The rest? Ouch. Thursday, May 4
by
Stuart MacDonald
on Thu 04 May 2006 11:01 AM EDT
All great that Google is set to make a bunch of big announcements at their Press Day next week, and there is certainly much chatter about a big Health play. Though in fairness, some like mesh Keynoter Kedrosky are calling for a ban on new Google products until they get the ones they already have in prime-time shape. But nobody is talking about Travel. I don't get it. Huge category, big dollars, obvious play, and yet zero discussion. Odd, no? Thursday, April 27
by
Stuart MacDonald
on Thu 27 Apr 2006 11:42 PM EDT
Sorry, had to post this snippet from a SideStep press release this afternoon: "SideStep, Inc. (www.sidestep.com), the Web's leading travel search engine..." Well, hey, adding activities - which they just did - might be super-dee-duper and all as Brian says, but, um, Rob, you better gimme a puff of that when you are done, and then go check your reach numbers. It's clearly making you kids light-headed. Sunday, April 23
by
Stuart MacDonald
on Sun 23 Apr 2006 03:41 PM EDT
Dude has quite the itinerary, and is sharing his commentary around his experiences getting the travel arranged. Apparently it can be a confusing and aggravating process, and you can't be sure that you are getting the best deal or a complete view of everything that's available right away. GASP! Who knew? :-) Tags: travel Thursday, April 20
by
Stuart MacDonald
on Thu 20 Apr 2006 10:14 AM EDT
I've thought a lot about Google taking a serious run at the Travel category over the past few years. Mostly because that's part of what I was paid to do, and also because it makes a lot of sense. So I was interested to see Mathew Ingram's piece in today's Globe and Mail (which seems to have spun out of this blog posting) where he talks at length about the prospect. For the most part, I think he got it right. For one thing, Google certainly has designs on being a portal, if their recent moves with Finance and Real Estate are any indication. Beyond that, their competitors are already there in Travel, sorta, with Yahoo!FareChase leading the way and msn Travel (in typical Microsoft fashion) representing a half-step towards a fully integrated travel "thing". As well, there is a lot of money at play, both from an ad and a distribution cost perspective, and they have reason to want to maximize it. Finally, if they have been nervous about upsetting the ad-revenue apple cart in the travel category (huge numbers) that nervousness has likely been reduced by things like IAC's purchase of Ask.com. IAC maintains a controlling interest in Expedia, and with this purchase is both a big customer of, and a direct competitor to, Google. However, I think that there is a big difference between Google ramping up their travel "experience" and them actually fully taking on the OTAs. In terms of them having some multi-site search experience and sending traffic from that to an OTA or a supplier (airline, hotel etc.). that seems like a pretty obvious thing. Suppliers would love it, and the competitive gauntlet has already been thrown down. But actually selling travel? Yikes. Why would they? Call centres, rules and regs, etc. etc. Easier to just further solidify their role as gate-keeper, and take advantage of the lack of loyalty and brand meaning that these guys have to crank out the ad money. Also, worth noting that most of this applies less here in Canada. For a bunch of reasons, the OTA and Supplier landscape is different and it is less likely that the existing dominant players here (Expedia.ca, AirCanada.com and WestJet.com) would suffer or benefit much from such a move by Google. Why? Well, the competition is lighter here, they often have exclusive inventory, offer pricing of global inventory in Canadian dollars, work better and have brand meaning that brings a lot of business direct. Technorati tags: google, yahoo, travel, expedia, travelocity, orbitz, aircanada, westjet Tuesday, April 18
by
Stuart MacDonald
on Tue 18 Apr 2006 01:55 PM EDT
The only issue was that when we got back to the airport for our very-early departure this morning, neither the gas station on the way in nor the Hertz counter were open, so I had to drop the keys and leave the truck with the tank half-empty. We will have to see what ultimately hits the credit card, but as I sit here today, I am a very satisfied customer. Wednesday, April 12
by
Stuart MacDonald
on Wed 12 Apr 2006 09:38 PM EDT
The hotel integration is tremendous. They are pulling from snazzy tools like Flickr and various user generated reviews, are shoveling reach to multiple possible sellers, snapping in some very cool satellite imagery, and are even managing to maintain good integration with their legacy "partner," Travelocity. Lots more revenue potential for Yahoo!, more selling opportunities for others including the supplier, and a richer customer experience. A win all around. So, where oh where is Troogle? Calling Mountainview! Jane? Hello? More discussion here and here. Tags: yahoo, yahoo farechase, travelocity, google Tuesday, April 11
by
Stuart MacDonald
on Tue 11 Apr 2006 09:20 PM EDT
At the exact same time I am passed by one of the gorgeous Expedia.ca buses, in all it's completely perfect, screaming yellow, crisp, clear, made-in-Canada, right-in-context, plane-and-globe branding glory. It was one of those moments when you just sorta "get" why, in Canada, Expedia won and Travelocity lost. And soooo badly, to boot. With due respect to Sam, Michelle, and the rest of the Sabre crew in Dallas, they just pooched it royally up here. It was theirs to lose, and they did. And yeah, I'm biased. Proud of it. But that doesn't mean I'm wrong. Technorati tags: travelocity, expedia, online travel, travel, gnome Powered by Qumana
by
Stuart MacDonald
on Tue 11 Apr 2006 06:07 PM EDT
It really isn't my plan to talk about only online travel here, but this post on The Internet Stock Blog caught my eye. Technorati tags: expedia
by
Stuart MacDonald
on Tue 11 Apr 2006 05:37 PM EDT
Technorati tags: priceline, expedia, travelocity, online travel, william shatner Friday, April 7
by
Stuart MacDonald
on Fri 07 Apr 2006 09:46 PM EDT
Another interesting thing about WS' move is that they raised the bar by making their passes transferable. So, it seems that a company could buy a bunch and use them for multiple travellers. Or, a family could buy them and dole them out to kids attending university in another city or to Grandparents to come in for a visit. This has definite appeal. It will be interesting to see if AC follows. Technorati Tags: air canada, westjet, online travel, travel Thursday, April 6
by
Stuart MacDonald
on Thu 06 Apr 2006 09:20 PM EDT
Technorati tags: air canada, westjet, online travel, travel, orbitz |
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